Congratulations to everyone who made a prediction!
The work for this is included in the spreadsheet Nevada Caucuses Predictions. If I’ve made any errors or overlooked anything, please let me know!
Highscores, Reps (Actual results: Trump 45.9%, Rubio 23.9%, Cruz 21.4%)
5 people got the correct top 3 in order. The winners were Aaron and Dylan K.
- 1. Aaron (40-25-20, ave. % point error 2.8), Dylan K. (40-24-19, 2.8)
- 3. Dylan (37-27-20, 4.47)
- 4. Dallas (36-26-18, 4.8)
- 5. Jonathan (35-29-23.5, 6.03)
For contrast, Nate Silver (Trump-Rubio-Cruz, 37.1-27.1-21, 4.13) would have made the highscore list, and come in 3rd, after Aaron and Dylan K.
7 thoughts on “Nevada Highscores”
Thanks, typo fixed.
@Anthony – How does one join the Steering Committee?
Will there be a thread for South Carolina (D) primary predictions?
I’ve made a combined open thread-predictions thread. I won’t be tabulating results, but people are welcome to make public predictions.
No way to join the Steering Committee right now. Might be opening it up again in the future, we’ll see.